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Microprediction
Microprediction

1.3K followers

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Microprediction: Building an Open AI Network
Microprediction: Building an Open AI Network

How a web-scale network of autonomous micromanagers can challenge the AI revolution and combat the high cost of quantitative business optimization

2022

·
Peter Cotton
Peter Cotton

Stories

Pinned
The Modern Scientist

Published in

The Modern Scientist

Remind Me Again Why Large Language Models Can’t Think

To avoid looking like an unsophisticated fool it is safest to avow that LLMs cannot reason, think, or truly perceive the world. Sometimes…

Apr 6, 2023
20
Remind Me Again Why Large Language Models Can’t Think
Remind Me Again Why Large Language Models Can’t Think
Apr 6, 2023
20
Pinned
Geek Culture

Published in

Geek Culture

Schur Complementary Portfolios — A Unification of Machine Learning and Optimization-Based…

This post considers both “modern” and “machine learning” portfolio approaches, and I show that they are sometimes the same. This viewpoint…

Nov 21, 2022
Schur Complementary Portfolios — A Unification of Machine Learning and Optimization-Based…
Schur Complementary Portfolios — A Unification of Machine Learning and Optimization-Based…
Nov 21, 2022
Pinned
Geek Culture

Published in

Geek Culture

Is Facebook’s “Prophet” the Time-Series Messiah, or Just a Very Naughty Boy?

Facebook’s Prophet package aims to provide a simple, automated approach to the prediction of a large number of different time series. The…

Feb 13, 2021
3
Is Facebook’s “Prophet” the Time-Series Messiah, or Just a Very Naughty Boy?
Is Facebook’s “Prophet” the Time-Series Messiah, or Just a Very Naughty Boy?
Feb 13, 2021
3
Geek Culture

Published in

Geek Culture

Australia Can Become an Artificial Intelligence Powerhouse — by Luring Algorithms to its Shores

Of late there has been much talk about how countries should prepare themselves for the AI race. Notably, Nuria Oliver, Bernhard Schölkopf…

Feb 9
Australia Can Become an Artificial Intelligence Powerhouse — by Luring Algorithms to its Shores
Australia Can Become an Artificial Intelligence Powerhouse — by Luring Algorithms to its Shores
Feb 9
Geek Culture

Published in

Geek Culture

Machine Psychology — Exploring A Paradox in Revealed Preferences

My very modest goals in a working paper titled A Paradox in Machine Preference (pdf) include the invigoration of one languishing field and…

Nov 24, 2024
A picture of a human brain with little men riding horses around in it
A picture of a human brain with little men riding horses around in it
Nov 24, 2024

A New Way to Detect Causality in Time-Series: Interview with Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

I virtually sat down with Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez to discuss his recent paper with Om Hari Yadav on causality detection. I’m always…

Nov 1, 2024
3
A New Way to Detect Causality in Time-Series: Interview with Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez
A New Way to Detect Causality in Time-Series: Interview with Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez
Nov 1, 2024
3
Geek Culture

Published in

Geek Culture

A New Generative AI Competition in Eleven Dimensions

There’s a new 11-dimensional game you can play by running this notebook. The task is distributional prediction of next week’s financial…

Mar 23, 2024
A New Generative AI Competition in Eleven Dimensions
A New Generative AI Competition in Eleven Dimensions
Mar 23, 2024

So Long and Thanks for all the Phish — Reflections of a Content Creator

This is a bit of a medium good-bye, I suspect.

Oct 4, 2023
1
So Long and Thanks for all the Phish — Reflections of a Content Creator
So Long and Thanks for all the Phish — Reflections of a Content Creator
Oct 4, 2023
1

A Gentle Introduction to Stochastic Portfolio Theory (and its Inverse)

I made a brief comment about Stochastic Portfolio Theory that sparked some interest and a post or two by Alberto Bueno-Guerrero recently…

Jul 22, 2023
A Gentle Introduction to Stochastic Portfolio Theory (and its Inverse)
A Gentle Introduction to Stochastic Portfolio Theory (and its Inverse)
Jul 22, 2023

Reward is Enough for Collective Artificial Intelligence

Aug 2021

May 23, 2023
Reward is Enough for Collective Artificial Intelligence
Reward is Enough for Collective Artificial Intelligence
May 23, 2023
Microprediction

Microprediction

1.3K followers

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Chief Data Scientist, A Hedge Fund

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