PinnedPublished inThe Modern ScientistRemind Me Again Why Large Language Models Can’t ThinkTo avoid looking like an unsophisticated fool it is safest to avow that LLMs cannot reason, think, or truly perceive the world. Sometimes…Apr 6, 202319Apr 6, 202319
PinnedPublished inGeek CultureSchur Complementary Portfolios — A Unification of Machine Learning and Optimization-Based…This post considers both “modern” and “machine learning” portfolio approaches, and I show that they are sometimes the same. This viewpoint…Nov 21, 2022Nov 21, 2022
PinnedPublished inGeek CultureIs Facebook’s “Prophet” the Time-Series Messiah, or Just a Very Naughty Boy?Facebook’s Prophet package aims to provide a simple, automated approach to the prediction of a large number of different time series. The…Feb 13, 20213Feb 13, 20213
Machine Psychology — Exploring A Paradox in Revealed PreferencesMy very modest goals in a working paper titled A Paradox in Machine Preference (pdf) include the invigoration of one languishing field and…Nov 24Nov 24
A New Way to Detect Causality in Time-Series: Interview with Alejandro Rodriguez DominguezI virtually sat down with Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez to discuss his recent paper with Om Hari Yadav on causality detection. I’m always…Nov 13Nov 13
Published inGeek CultureA New Generative AI Competition in Eleven DimensionsThere’s a new 11-dimensional game you can play by running this notebook. The task is distributional prediction of next week’s financial…Mar 23Mar 23
So Long and Thanks for all the Phish — Reflections of a Content CreatorThis is a bit of a medium good-bye, I suspect.Oct 4, 20231Oct 4, 20231
A Gentle Introduction to Stochastic Portfolio Theory (and its Inverse)I made a brief comment about Stochastic Portfolio Theory that sparked some interest and a post or two by Alberto Bueno-Guerrero recently…Jul 22, 2023Jul 22, 2023
I Came Here For You To Beat MeI have created a notebook that will help you beat the microprediction oracle — the one you are so terrified of.May 22, 2023May 22, 2023
